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openaccountants/skills/jp-estimated-tax.md

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v20Japan
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1---
2name: jp-estimated-tax
3description: >
4 Use this skill whenever asked about Japanese estimated tax prepayments (yotei nozei / 予定納税) for self-employed individuals, freelancers, or sole proprietors. Trigger on phrases like "予定納税", "yotei nozei", "estimated tax Japan", "Japanese advance tax", "予定納税基準額", "reduction application", "予定納税額の減額申請", or any question about advance income tax obligations under the Income Tax Act (所得税法). Covers the two-instalment schedule (July and November), the JPY 150,000 threshold, reduction applications, penalties for non-payment, and payment procedures. ALWAYS read this skill before touching any estimated tax work for Japan.
5version: 2.0
6jurisdiction: JP
7tax_year: 2025
8category: international
9depends_on:
10 - income-tax-workflow-base
11---
12 
13# Japan Estimated Tax (予定納税 / Yotei Nozei) -- Self-Employed Skill v2.0
14 
15## Section 1 -- Quick reference
16 
17| Field | Value |
18|---|---|
19| Country | Japan |
20| Tax | Estimated income tax prepayments (予定納税 / yotei nozei) |
21| Primary legislation | Income Tax Act (所得税法), Arts. 104-108, 111 |
22| Supporting legislation | National Tax General Act (国税通則法), Arts. 60-63 |
23| Authority | National Tax Agency (国税庁 / NTA) |
24| Portal | e-Tax (etax.nta.go.jp) |
25| Currency | JPY only |
26| Payment schedule | Two instalments: 1/3 by July 31, 1/3 by November 30; final 1/3 with return (Feb-Mar) |
27| Computation basis | 予定納税基準額 (baseline amount) from prior year final return |
28| Minimum threshold | JPY 150,000 baseline amount |
29| Contributor | Open Accountants Community |
30| Validated by | Pending -- requires sign-off by Japanese zeirishi (税理士) |
31| Validation date | Pending |
32 
33**Instalment schedule summary:**
34 
35| Instalment | Due date | Amount |
36|---|---|---|
37| 1st (第1期) | 1-31 July | 1/3 of baseline |
38| 2nd (第2期) | 1-30 November | 1/3 of baseline |
39| Final (確定申告) | 16 Feb - 15 Mar (next year) | Actual tax minus yotei nozei paid |
40 
41**Conservative defaults:**
42 
43| Ambiguity | Default |
44|---|---|
45| Baseline amount unknown | Request prior year final return -- do not estimate |
46| Capital gains in prior year | Verify exclusion from baseline (should be excluded) |
47| Income dropping | File reduction application (減額申請) before reducing payments |
48| Blue return status | Does not affect yotei nozei schedule |
49| Disaster circumstances | Flag for zeirishi -- special provisions may apply |
50 
51---
52 
53## Section 2 -- Required inputs and refusal catalogue
54 
55### Required inputs
56 
57**Minimum viable** -- the 予定納税基準額 (baseline amount) from the prior year final return (確定申告).
58 
59**Recommended** -- nature of income, withholding tax (源泉徴収) credits, blue return (青色申告) status, current year income trend.
60 
61**Ideal** -- complete prior year 確定申告, NTA notification of yotei nozei amounts, bank statements showing prior payments.
62 
63**Refusal policy if minimum is missing -- HARD STOP.** Without the baseline amount, yotei nozei cannot be computed.
64 
65### Refusal catalogue
66 
67**R-JP-ET-1 -- Cross-border income.** Trigger: client has foreign-source income with treaty credits. Message: "Cross-border income and treaty credit timing for yotei nozei are outside this skill."
68 
69**R-JP-ET-2 -- Non-resident estimated tax.** Trigger: non-resident client. Message: "Non-resident estimated tax is outside this skill."
70 
71**R-JP-ET-3 -- Corporate estimated tax.** Trigger: client asks about corporate prepayments. Message: "Corporate estimated tax has different rules. This skill covers individuals only."
72 
73---
74 
75## Section 3 -- Payment pattern library
76 
77This is the deterministic pre-classifier for bank statement transactions. When a debit matches a pattern below, classify it as a yotei nozei payment.
78 
79### 3.1 NTA income tax debits
80 
81| Pattern | Treatment | Notes |
82|---|---|---|
83| 税務署 (zeimusho / tax office) | Yotei nozei payment | Match with July/November timing |
84| 予定納税, 予定 | Yotei nozei payment | Explicit description |
85| 所得税 (shotokuzei / income tax) | Yotei nozei payment | Match with timing -- could also be final payment |
86| 申告所得税 | Yotei nozei payment | "Declared income tax" |
87| 振替納税 (furikae nozei) | Yotei nozei payment | Direct debit for tax (debit typically ~1 month after due date) |
88 
89### 3.2 Timing-based identification
90 
91| Debit date range | Likely payment | Confidence |
92|---|---|---|
93| 1 July -- 10 August | 1st instalment (第1期) | High if payee is tax office |
94| Late July -- early August | 1st instalment via 振替納税 (direct debit) | Debit date is later than due date |
95| 1 November -- 10 December | 2nd instalment (第2期) | High |
96| Late December | 2nd instalment via 振替納税 | Debit date is later |
97| 16 February -- 15 March | Final return payment (not yotei nozei) | Flag separately |
98 
99### 3.3 Related but NOT yotei nozei
100 
101| Pattern | Treatment | Notes |
102|---|---|---|
103| 消費税 (shouhizei) | EXCLUDE | Consumption tax payment |
104| 住民税 (juuminzei) | EXCLUDE | Resident tax (municipal) |
105| 国民健康保険 (kokumin kenko hoken) | EXCLUDE | National health insurance |
106| 国民年金 (kokumin nenkin) | EXCLUDE | National pension |
107| 加算税 (kasanzei) | EXCLUDE | Penalty surcharge |
108| 延滞税 (entaizei) | EXCLUDE | Delinquent tax interest |
109| 還付金 (kanpukin) | Flag for reviewer | Tax refund |
110 
111### 3.4 Payment method references
112 
113| Reference pattern | Treatment | Notes |
114|---|---|---|
115| e-Tax + 所得税 + 予定 | Yotei nozei via e-Tax | Electronic payment |
116| 納付書 (nofusho) | Yotei nozei via payment slip | Bank counter payment |
117| クレジットカード + 国税 | Yotei nozei via credit card | Via NTA credit card site |
118| Pay-easy + 国税 | Yotei nozei via Pay-easy | Electronic banking |
119 
120---
121 
122## Section 4 -- Worked examples
123 
124### Example 1 -- Standard two-instalment computation
125 
126**Input:** Baseline amount (予定納税基準額) = JPY 600,000.
127 
128| Instalment | Period | Amount |
129|---|---|---|
130| 1st (第1期) | July 2025 | JPY 200,000 |
131| 2nd (第2期) | November 2025 | JPY 200,000 |
132| Final return | Feb-Mar 2026 | Actual tax - JPY 400,000 |
133 
134### Example 2 -- Below threshold
135 
136**Input:** Baseline amount = JPY 120,000.
137 
138**Output:** Below JPY 150,000 threshold. No yotei nozei required.
139 
140### Example 3 -- Delinquent tax computation
141 
142**Input:** 1st instalment JPY 200,000 due 31 July. Paid 15 October (76 days late).
143 
144**Computation:**
145- First 60 days: JPY 200,000 x 2.4% x 60/365 = JPY 789
146- Remaining 16 days: JPY 200,000 x 8.7% x 16/365 = JPY 762
147- Total delinquent tax = JPY 1,551
148 
149### Example 4 -- Bank statement classification
150 
151**Input line:** `2025/07/31 ; 振替納税 所得税予定1期 ; 出金 ; -200,000 ; JPY`
152 
153**Classification:** Yotei nozei, 1st instalment for 2025. Tax payment -- not a deductible business expense.
154 
155---
156 
157## Section 5 -- Computation rules
158 
159### 5.1 Baseline amount (予定納税基準額)
160 
161The baseline is computed from the prior year's final return: income tax on recurring income sources minus withholding credits on those sources.
162 
163```
164baseline = prior_year_tax_on_recurring_income - withholding_on_recurring_income
165if baseline >= 150,000: yotei_nozei required
166else: no yotei_nozei
167```
168 
169Excluded from baseline: capital gains from asset sales, retirement income, timber income, one-off income.
170 
171### 5.2 Instalment amounts
172 
173```
174each_instalment = baseline / 3
175```
176 
177Each instalment is exactly 1/3 of the baseline (not 1/2).
178 
179### 5.3 Final return reconciliation
180 
181```
182actual_tax = income_tax + special_reconstruction_tax (復興特別所得税)
183total_yotei_paid = 1st + 2nd instalments
184if actual_tax > total_yotei_paid: balance due with final return
185if actual_tax < total_yotei_paid: refund via final return
186```
187 
188---
189 
190## Section 6 -- Penalties and interest
191 
192### 6.1 Delinquent tax (延滞税 / entaizei)
193 
194| Period | Rate (2025) |
195|---|---|
196| First 2 months from due date | 2.4% per annum (特例基準割合, reviewed annually) |
197| After 2 months | 8.7% per annum (standard rate) |
198 
199### 6.2 No penalty surcharge (加算税)
200 
201Yotei nozei is not subject to penalty surcharges (加算税) because it is a prepayment, not a return-based assessment. Only delinquent tax (延滞税) applies.
202 
203---
204 
205## Section 7 -- Reduction application (減額申請)
206 
207### 7.1 When to apply
208 
209| Trigger | Action |
210|---|---|
211| Current year income significantly lower | File 予定納税額の減額申請書 |
212| Business closed or suspended | File reduction application |
213| Disaster or extraordinary circumstances | File reduction application |
214| New dependents or increased deductions | File reduction application |
215 
216### 7.2 Application deadlines
217 
218| Instalment | Deadline |
219|---|---|
220| 1st instalment reduction | By 15 July |
221| 2nd instalment reduction | By 15 November |
222 
223### 7.3 Process
224 
2251. Complete 予定納税額の減額申請書
2262. Attach estimated income statement through 30 June (for 1st) or 31 October (for 2nd)
2273. Submit to jurisdictional tax office (所轄税務署)
2284. Tax office reviews and approves or denies
229 
230If the NTA determines the estimate was unreasonably low, penalties may apply.
231 
232---
233 
234## Section 8 -- Edge cases
235 
236**EC1 -- First year of business.** No prior year return. No yotei nozei obligation. Tax settled entirely through final return.
237 
238**EC2 -- Capital gain in prior year inflated baseline.** Capital gains from asset sales are excluded from baseline by definition. If incorrectly included, contact tax office for correction.
239 
240**EC3 -- Income dropped significantly.** File 減額申請 by 15 July (1st) or 15 November (2nd). Flag for zeirishi.
241 
242**EC4 -- Disaster relief.** Special deferral or reduction provisions under the Disaster Tax Relief Act (災害減免法). Flag for zeirishi.
243 
244**EC5 -- 振替納税 (direct debit) timing.** Actual debit date is typically about 1 month after official due date. No delinquent tax for the gap between the official due date and the debit date.
245 
246---
247 
248## Section 9 -- Self-checks
249 
250Before delivering output, verify:
251 
252- [ ] 予定納税基準額 confirmed from prior year return
253- [ ] JPY 150,000 threshold checked
254- [ ] Instalments correctly calculated as 1/3 each (not 1/2)
255- [ ] Capital gains, retirement, one-off income excluded from baseline
256- [ ] Reduction application deadlines identified if applicable
257- [ ] Delinquent tax rates current for the applicable year
258- [ ] Payment method appropriate for the amount (convenience store cap JPY 300,000)
259- [ ] 振替納税 timing noted if applicable
260- [ ] Special reconstruction tax included in final reconciliation
261- [ ] Output labelled as estimated until zeirishi confirms
262 
263---
264 
265## Section 10 -- Test suite
266 
267### Test 1 -- Standard computation
268**Input:** Baseline = JPY 600,000.
269**Expected:** 1st = JPY 200,000 (Jul). 2nd = JPY 200,000 (Nov). Final = actual - JPY 400,000.
270 
271### Test 2 -- Below threshold
272**Input:** Baseline = JPY 120,000.
273**Expected:** No yotei nozei required.
274 
275### Test 3 -- Delinquent tax (76 days late)
276**Input:** JPY 200,000 paid 76 days late.
277**Expected:** First 60 days at 2.4%, remaining 16 days at 8.7%. Total approx. JPY 1,551.
278 
279### Test 4 -- First year
280**Input:** New freelancer, no prior return.
281**Expected:** No yotei nozei. Tax paid with final return.
282 
283### Test 5 -- Reduction application
284**Input:** Baseline JPY 600,000. Client expects 50% income drop.
285**Expected:** Flag for zeirishi. File 減額申請 by 15 July or 15 November.
286 
287### Test 6 -- Refund on final return
288**Input:** Yotei nozei paid JPY 400,000. Actual tax JPY 300,000.
289**Expected:** Refund JPY 100,000 claimed on final return.
290 
291---
292 
293## Prohibitions
294 
295- NEVER compute yotei nozei without confirming the 予定納税基準額
296- NEVER include capital gains, retirement, or one-off income in the baseline
297- NEVER forget that each instalment is 1/3 (not 1/2) of the baseline
298- NEVER advise filing a reduction application without flagging for zeirishi review
299- NEVER apply penalty surcharge (加算税) to yotei nozei -- only delinquent tax (延滞税) applies
300- NEVER present amounts as definitive -- advise confirmation with zeirishi
301 
302---
303 
304## Disclaimer
305 
306This skill and its outputs are provided for informational and computational purposes only and do not constitute tax, legal, or financial advice. Open Accountants and its contributors accept no liability for any errors, omissions, or outcomes arising from the use of this skill. All outputs must be reviewed and signed off by a qualified professional (such as a zeirishi or equivalent licensed practitioner in your jurisdiction) before filing or acting upon.
307 
308The most up-to-date, verified version of this skill is maintained at [openaccountants.com](https://openaccountants.com). Log in to access the latest version, request a professional review from a licensed accountant, and track updates as tax law changes.
309 

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Use this skill whenever asked about Japanese estimated tax prepayments (yotei nozei / 予定納税) for self-employed individuals, freelancers, or sole proprietors. Trigger on phrases like "予定納税", "yotei nozei", "estimated tax Japan", "Japanese advance tax", "予定納税基準額", "reduction application", "予定納税額の減額申請", or any question about advance income tax obligations under the Income Tax Act (所得税法). Covers the two-instalment schedule (July and November), the JPY 150,000 threshold, reduction applications, penalties for non-payment, and payment procedures. ALWAYS read this skill before touching any estimated tax work for Japan.

JPty-2025

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